Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.1%
Espanol
22.7%
Draw
9.1%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Espanol
vs
0.42
Lugo
Markets
BTTS27.9%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.8%
2-0
17.1%
0-0
12.4%
3-0
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).