Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Greuther Furth
27.2%
Draw
49.5%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Greuther Furth
vs
1.54
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).