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20 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Exeter

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.0%
Forest Green
25.8%
Draw
54.2%
Exeter

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Forest Green

vs
1.45

Exeter

Markets

BTTS40.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
11.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).