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DHT: 12CSV

27 Jun 2020 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.2%
Goztep
36.1%
Draw
16.7%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Goztep

vs
0.66

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS37.5%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.0%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).