Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Ath Madrid
21.9%
Draw
16.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Ath Madrid
vs
0.87
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).