Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Cartagena
28.3%
Draw
39.2%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Cartagena
vs
1.20
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).