Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Blackpool
23.9%
Draw
25.4%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Blackpool
vs
0.97
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).