Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
West Brom
28.7%
Draw
25.3%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
West Brom
vs
0.99
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).