Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
St. Gilloise
25.0%
Draw
13.5%
St Truiden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
St. Gilloise
vs
0.65
St Truiden
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).