Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Celta
23.2%
Draw
13.8%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Celta
vs
0.68
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
7.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).