Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Stockton Town
26.7%
Draw
50.4%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Stockton Town
vs
1.39
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.5%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).