Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Millwall
28.4%
Draw
23.2%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Millwall
vs
0.95
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).