Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Alcorcon
33.4%
Draw
31.7%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Alcorcon
vs
0.84
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.551.5%
Over 2.525.1%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.6%
1-0
16.0%
0-1
14.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).