Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Rochdale
22.0%
Draw
22.3%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Rochdale
vs
0.97
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).