Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.0%
Milan
13.6%
Draw
5.5%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Milan
vs
0.47
Monza
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
1-1
6.2%
0-0
5.4%
5-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).