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05 Apr 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Reggina
28.9%
Draw
22.8%
Benevento

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Reggina

vs
0.93

Benevento

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).