Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.3%
Leicester
15.8%
Draw
77.9%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Leicester
vs
2.59
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.0%
0-3
11.2%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
1-1
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
7.3%
1-4
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
0-5
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
1-5
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).