Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Almeria
23.8%
Draw
28.4%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Almeria
vs
1.24
Granada
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).