Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.1%
Barnet
14.5%
Draw
6.4%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Barnet
vs
0.66
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.2%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
2.8%
5-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).