Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.8%
Krasnodar
11.0%
Draw
4.2%
Krylya Sovetov
Expected Goals (xG)
3.15
Krasnodar
vs
0.66
Krylya Sovetov
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.5%
2-0
11.0%
4-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
5.7%
1-1
5.2%
5-1
3.8%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).