Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Stockport
24.9%
Draw
23.5%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Stockport
vs
0.85
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).