Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Stevenage
34.2%
Draw
30.4%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Stevenage
vs
0.76
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS29.8%
Over 0.580.4%
Over 1.547.1%
Over 2.521.7%
Over 3.57.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.6%
1-0
17.5%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).