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HHT: 10CSV

24 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.0%
Nimes
13.7%
Draw
75.3%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Nimes

vs
2.72

Lorient

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.549.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-1
6.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
0-5
3.2%
2-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).