Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Rotherham
23.2%
Draw
21.1%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Rotherham
vs
0.85
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).