Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Doncaster
20.2%
Draw
41.5%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Doncaster
vs
1.88
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS70.1%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
0-1
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).