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AHT: 02CSV

12 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.8%
Montrose
23.9%
Draw
21.3%
East Fife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Montrose

vs
1.10

East Fife

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).