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AHT: 00CSV

13 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.2%
QPR
21.8%
Draw
13.0%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

QPR

vs
0.80

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).