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DHT: 11CSV

20 Dec 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.4%
Eyupspor
23.3%
Draw
65.3%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Eyupspor

vs
2.19

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.2%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).