Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Gil Vicente
26.8%
Draw
13.3%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Gil Vicente
vs
0.60
Farense
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
14.0%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).