Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Ipswich
25.2%
Draw
14.0%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Ipswich
vs
0.68
Charlton
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).