Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.2%
Rotherham
12.6%
Draw
83.3%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Rotherham
vs
2.68
Leeds
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.2%
0-3
13.6%
0-1
10.9%
0-4
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
1-1
5.9%
0-5
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
4.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).