Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.2%
Estoril
17.3%
Draw
66.5%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Estoril
vs
2.41
Benfica
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).