Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Monaco
22.0%
Draw
26.1%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Monaco
vs
1.20
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).