⚽ FootballData
0 – 5
AHT: 03

04 Oct 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
7.2%
Sheffield Wednesday
15.9%
Draw
76.9%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Sheffield Wednesday

vs
2.50

Coventry

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.538.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.2%
0-3
11.0%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
6.9%
0-0
4.8%
1-4
4.6%
0-5
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).