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AHT: 02CSV

16 Apr 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.3%
St Pauli
21.4%
Draw
13.3%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

St Pauli

vs
0.86

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).