Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Lens
27.5%
Draw
33.4%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Lens
vs
1.01
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).