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10 Dec 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.8%
Hansa Rostock
30.0%
Draw
53.2%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Hansa Rostock

vs
1.39

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS37.9%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).