Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Luton
28.8%
Draw
27.6%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Luton
vs
1.07
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).