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01 Mar 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.7%
Akhmat Grozny
31.6%
Draw
27.6%
Rubin Kazan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Akhmat Grozny

vs
0.99

Rubin Kazan

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).