Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Leicester
20.1%
Draw
12.5%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Leicester
vs
0.84
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).