Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Leganes
36.7%
Draw
28.4%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Leganes
vs
0.68
Burgos
Markets
BTTS27.1%
Over 0.577.4%
Over 1.543.5%
Over 2.518.6%
Over 3.56.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.6%
1-0
18.2%
0-1
15.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
3-0
1.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).