Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Ceuta
23.6%
Draw
35.6%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Ceuta
vs
1.48
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).