Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Cheltenham
28.4%
Draw
38.6%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Cheltenham
vs
1.06
Exeter
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).