Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Crewe
27.8%
Draw
35.4%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Crewe
vs
1.10
Colchester
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).