Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.0%
Lyon
12.3%
Draw
8.7%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.93
Lyon
vs
0.89
Metz
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.552.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
5.4%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
5-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).