Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Carlisle
26.0%
Draw
44.7%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Carlisle
vs
1.38
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).