Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Scunthorpe
22.4%
Draw
21.3%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Scunthorpe
vs
1.24
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).