Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.9%
Dortmund
11.8%
Draw
5.3%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Dortmund
vs
0.69
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
5.0%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).