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01 Nov 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.5%
Zenit
18.7%
Draw
8.9%
Lokomotiv Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Zenit

vs
0.72

Lokomotiv Moskva

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
5-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).