Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
20.0%
Draw
16.4%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.90
Barrow
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).